E2: Volume of agricultural production

Short Description

Farming produces a range of food, feed and fibre commodities. This represents a valuable output from the land and other resources used. Volume of agricultural production is considered to be a provisioning service provided by a range of natural capital assets (land, water, air, species and ecological communities). This indicator shows annual changes in the index of output volume which provides an overall measure of total production across the wide range of agricultural commodities. The index is calculated using agreed international standards.

Farm practices and the use of inputs (particularly fertilisers and pesticides) directly influence the environmental pressures from farming including the quality, composition and availability of habitats and impact on air, water and soils. This indicator should therefore be viewed alongside indicator ‘E3 Volume of inputs used in agricultural production’ and other indicators in the framework relating to the condition of natural capital assets.

Readiness and links to data

The data presented in this indicator are derived from the official statistics on total factor productivity for England by farm type. These total factor productivity data are collated via the Farm Business Survey and are updated annually.

Indicator components

Figure E2: Volume of agricultural production in England, 1990/1991 to 2022/2023

Table E2: Volume of agricultural production in England, 1990/1991 to 2022/2023

Year Value
1990/1991 100.00
1991/1992 103.56
1992/1993 98.85
1993/1994 93.73
1994/1995 94.72
1995/1996 100.62
1996/1997 101.77
1997/1998 101.51
1998/1999 100.23
1999/2000 101.20
2000/2001 91.79
2001/2002 100.20
2002/2003 106.01
2003/2004 107.90
2004/2005 108.95
2005/2006 106.60
2006/2007 104.91
2007/2008 99.58
2008/2009 105.05
2009/2010 100.77
2010/2011 99.84
2011/2012 103.66
2012/2013 95.06
2013/2014 98.58
2014/2015 105.14
2015/2016 106.50
2016/2017 102.06
2017/2018 106.37
2018/2019 107.64
2019/2020 110.83
2020/2021 102.64
2021/2022 103.61
2022/2023 107.19

Trend description for E2

Since the start of the series in 1990/1991, the overall volume of agricultural production (outputs) in England has remained relatively stable, with some variation from year to year. Annual variations are generally driven by external factors, in particular, the weather affecting growing and harvest, and the variation in cropping driven by prices. In recent years, following a 7.4% reduction in 2020/2021, attributed to decreases in crop output, livestock meat and livestock products, there has been a 4.4% increase across the latest 2 years of the series (2021/2022 and 2022/2023).

Assessment of change

An increase in volume of agricultural production has been observed over the short, medium and long-term. However, it is not possible to categorise this increase as either a simplistic ‘improvement’ or ‘deterioration’ as this will depend on numerous factors around farming practices. This indicator is included in the Outcome Indicator Framework to help interpret the reasons behind changes in ‘E4 Efficiency of agricultural production measured by Total Factor Productivity’, rather than to assess progress for a policy driver in the 25 Year Environment Plan.

Change since 2018 has also been assessed. There has been little or no change in volume of agricultural production since 2018. However, this result is based on only 5 data points so should be considered as indicative and not evidence of a clear trend.

Further information on this assessment, along with details on the methodology, is provided in the Assessment background page. Summaries by 25 Year Environment Plan goal and information on indicator links are presented in the Assessment results pages.

Table E2: Assessment of change

Component Subcomponent Period Date range Percentage change Smoothing function Assessment of change
E2 None Short term 2016/2017 to 2021/2022 3.54 Loess Change (increasing)
E2 None Medium term 2011/2012 to 2021/2022 5.29 Loess Change (increasing)
E2 None Long term 1990/1991 to 2021/2022 7.62 Loess Change (increasing)

Note that assessment categories were assigned based on smoothed data, so percentage change figures in Table E2 may differ from unsmoothed values quoted elsewhere. It is not possible to define a simplistic desired direction of change for this indicator so we cannot assign an ‘improvement’ or ‘deterioration’ label to these results.

Indicator Metadata